Pivot shows the advantage that Microsoft may have as the underdog in search

http://getpivot.com/ presented at #TED

Nathan Myrvhold: awesome presentation about using lasers to kill mosquitos, they are about to zap them!

Nathan Myrvhold, at my company we invent for fun and profit, glad that fun comes first because profit has taken a long time.

Many #TED present ideas for USA that are common in Europe: wind energy, solar, and now Gary Lauder with roundabouts

http://yfrog.com/1e15876369j David Byrne presents theory that historically music composition is a function of venue/gadget.

David Byrne on stage at #TED as opposed to other musicians his voice is just like his singing.

Jane #TED designs games about real life problems like “World without oil”, “Global Extinction Awareness System”

Herodotus says games were invented to cope with famine, King said on one day you get to eat, another to play games.

gamers experience urgent optimism, social fabric, blissful productivity, epic meaning, gamers are super empowered hopeful individuals???

there are half a billion people in the planet who spend at least an hour playing games

American children spend as many hours going to school as they play gaming, around 10K hours between 6 til 18

Listening to Jane game designer http://bit.ly/cLvvVE describe an “epic win” and saying she wants to see this in real life

The best argument against nuclear energy is that it is used as an excuse by Iran and others for making nuclear weapons.

75% of TED audience favors more nuclear energy to fight climate change

New crime definition “crimes against nature”

TEDx open source TED in your city. TED gives rules and Brand.

Visit freetheslaves.net it explains the sad situation

America is still paying the price of the botched emancipation of 1865, 4m people dumped with no help #TED

Slavery globally is an estimated $40bn business

Most slaves become slaves after being offered fake jobs taken away and then they are imprisoned.

There are 27 million slaves in the world

Anonymous because none of us are as cruel as all of us

Christopher Moot Pole 4chan meme factory lol cats

99% of the #TED audience is in favor of gay marriage

Michael Sandel http://bit.ly/auYJbQ speaking at #TED about the ethics of Justice

Aristotle justice means giving people what they deserve

One of the problems of nuclear weapons is that over time many have been lost when planes carrying them fell into the ocean

For a world without nuclear weapons http://www.globalzero.org/

http://bit.ly/cbHrAE Valerie Plame Wilson outed CIA agent, USA and Russia have 96% of the world’s nuclear weapons #TED

Cheese commercial, unexpected ending #TED :)http://bit.ly/8k6pS9

Connections matter look at how thanks to them carbon can be graphite or diamond.

Cristakis #TED whether your friends know each other have to do with your genes, do you have generous social genes :)?

#TED fascinating work on how obesity is social by Nicholas Cristakis http://digg.com/u1N59N

http://digg.com/d11DUE2 argues that if commodity prices don’t rise it is hard to argue that we are running out of resources

Esther Pisani, condom use down among gay men in developed countries going down and infection up because of antiHIV drugs

Esther Pisani, condom use among sex workers is much higher than among the general population

#TED Esther Pisani to Pope, “if you think giving condoms makes people have sex look at me, I carry condoms and never get laid”

Sam Harris http://www.samharris.org/ #TED We have to admit that there are right and wrong answers in the domain of human flourishing.

Sam Harris, in most of USA it is legal for teachers to physically punish and kids at school.

Sam Harris #TED A rational approach to ethics “in talking about values we are talking about facts, facts ARE related to values”

Michael Specter, Sam Harris, Chris Anderson and many of the speakers at #TED speak against religion, in Europe we mostly ignore it

America is the most religious industralized nation but the most sucessful people in USA who I meet at conferences like TED are like him

Speaker at #TED is arguing that eating meat causes more emissions than transportation, true?

Michael Specter of #denialism we hate big pharma, but we love big placebo (herbs, homeopathy, suplements, etc)

heard at #TED everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but I am sorry, they are not entitled to their own facts

At dinner last night Marissa Meyer of Google told me that Buzz targets organizations more than social networks. Makes sense.

Sheryl Crow says at #TED that she is dissapointed with Obama http://twitpic.com/12ibud

Jamie Oliver shows a picture of a king size coffin that is used to bury the obese at #TED

Jamie Oliver chef activist points out that we are the first generation to live less than our parents #TED

TED talks have been viewed 200 million times on Youtube, my youtube martinvars only 1 million 😉

Learning about Blippy the twitter for your credit card…not for me!

http://www.skeptic.com/ americans are believing people thus this magazine

Michael Shermer on how we are programmed to believe. Google him http://yfrog.us/ekfcfz

http://www.povertyactionlab.com/ remarkable work

We can use randomized controlled trials for not just to test medicines but for social problems.

When a politician speaks you have to know that in this world of deficits he will not have the $ to deliver. Cameron.

JFK “GDP measures everything except what makes life worthwhile”

David Cameron: the best way for people to cut energy consumption is to show them what their neighbors spend.

http://yfrog.com/3g1i3cj David Cameron conservative at #TED uses socialist fist and power to the people slogan

David Cameron: politics now is about how to make things better without spending more money, cause we dont have more money.

David Cameron at TED politics is like show biz with ugly people.

Gallup Poll: Americans who make less than 60K per year are unhappy. But those who make more and more r not proportionately happier.

Memories are the leftovers of experience

Daniel Kahneman people confuse experience with memory.

Keith Ferrazzi, a great way to connect to others is to be of service

How do children become suicide bombers? A documentary http://digg.com/u1Myfs Director speaking at TED now.

“We can’t solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them” Einstein

As a conference TED is an a great art gallery, Davos a museum. Both are relevant but TED has the new art.

If you care about getting followers watch this http://digg.com/d1t77t

Derek Siver followers are what transforms a lone nut into a leader, key is to treat your first followers as equals, they get you others

Jennifer McCrea, life itself is work in progress

Danny Sullivan at #TED explains how Flash is not “seen” by Google, when you use Flash add title tags

at #TED Suzie Katz when you take a picture think of the story behind the picture

#TED is like speed dating of the mind

Peugeot and American Movil launch first WiFi car with 3G to WiFi conversion built in http://bit.ly/9eLWN6

This is how TED University looks like http://yfrog.com/3ikmzj

Jessica Green at TED says that we spend 90% of our life indoors

Kevin Stone presented at #TED on biologic as opposed to bionic implants. Cows and pig knees on humans r coming.

#TED just heard Daniel Kraft speak on the future of medicine. I hope he is right.

This week, FON will unveil the newest Fonera WiFi device at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona. Visit us at booth 2EZ19. The new Fonera SIMPL features the speed of 802.11n, a powerful, detachable antenna increasing reach, sleek design and tiny enclosure. It will be available to the public in May for 39€ and will give users easy, fast and affordable access to the world’s largest WiFi community.

The FON network is growing fast. We surpassed 1 million hotspots in December 2009 and we continue to add close to 100,000 new FON Spots each month. This growth comes from our users who activate their Foneras and from our partners, including BT, ZON Portugal, SFR, and Comstar Russia, who build FON functionality into their own WiFi routers.

Now, with the Fonera SIMPL, we have developed an even better WiFi device. We named it SIMPL for two reasons. First, because it has only FON’s core functionality of creating two WiFi signals – one for public and one for private use. It does not have any of the Fonera 2.0n features. Second, because we are working on a series of improvements to make the registration and connection process with mobile devices as simple as possible. Yesterday, WiFi was all about laptops. The future of WiFi is all about e-books, tablets and smartphones. We are working to optimize the FON experience on these devices.

The target group for the Fonera SIMPL is individuals who want to join the FON community by buying a great WiFi router. But we’re also distributing this Fonera to mobile operators who will bundle it with their smartphones to help offload 3G traffic. We have distributed test models already to mobile operators and they like it.

Here’s a sneak peek…

FONERA_SIMPL

It all depends. Here are my ratings. This is a work in progress. But you get the idea. Maybe you don’t agree with them. Maybe you would add more categories. I have not tested any models lately with Symbian, with Windows Mobile, so they are not on the chart. For the Twitter category, Blackberry is also with Seesmic – I forgot to put it in the chart.

Results: Seesmic in the Blackberry is just super fast even though it looks better in Android. But the iPhone with Tweetdeck is also incredibly good, love the email the tweet feature. I forgot to include roaming charges. Blackberry wins that contest because it has compression. With the other two don’t even try. Get a PeekFON instead. We already pre-sold all the ones we have. But we will get more in 90 days or less. The PeekFON would be a clear loser in the quality competition. It’s not really a smartphone. But if you want affordable email without roaming charges no one can beat it. 30 euros for the PeekFON itself and 12,9 euros per month all the email you can eat anywhere in Europe, Australia, New Zeland and hopefully soon USA as well. PeekFON is work in progress.

TableCompare2

It took Fon almost four years to sell half a million WiFi routers known as Foneras. But in the last 2 months we have received orders for another half a million. This is because mobile operators have changed their view vis-à-vis WiFi. They see WiFi not as a threat anymore, but as a great add-on to 3G, to do the heavy duty work of downloading. Mobile operators know that WiFi cannot really compete with 3G in terms of mobility and that people will continue to want both 3G and WiFi, and will be willing to pay for both.

WiFi improves customer experience and saves CAPEX on a Smartphone when people are at home or in the office. Smartphones don’t need WiFi for email or Twitter, low bandwidth apps. But Smartphones do need WiFi when they become entertainment centers, when they are used to watch TV Series, stream video, stream music. And that is also when Smartphones become real burdens for 3G networks. Think of this, an N router nowadays has as much capacity as a cell tower, less range of course but at cost of $100 vs. $200,000. Here’s an article from the BBC that explains the problem that 02 is having with the iPhone.

With FON people autoconnect their Smartphone at home and also offer 20% of their bandwidth to others who may capture the same signal while at home visiting or nearby through walls and windows. So with FON, Smartphones get coverage at home and at other homes or offices with our Fonera routers. In certain countries, like the UK, FON has a venture together with BT, known as BT FON that has close to a million hotspots. That is great coverage and our network is becoming more and more valuable to mobile operators who want to complement 3G with WiFi.

But in order to preserve the ecosystem, and not go against fixed operators, FON is not free to those who don’t donate bandwidth. FON has a rule, “you share a little WiFi at home and you roam for free”, but if you don’t share you have to pay. In this way, FON has solved the leeching problem that free wifi networks have. As great as Free WiFi networks are, they never really took off because there are many more takers than people who offer WiFi. Also frankly, if they would take off, they would destroy most of the fixed telecom industry. With Fon there is a balance. To take you have to give. So people continue to buy fixed broadband services from companies like BT, ZON, Comstar, Neuf and other partners of ours. So in this telco/consumer ecosystem FON helps consumers, but also promotes fixed and mobile bandwidth. This is why FON has in its capital structure, telcos like BT and consumer internet companies like Google.

Here’s a video in which I try to make this point 🙂

There are astronomical reasons for the day to be a day, there are astronomical reasons for the year to be a year, but there are no astronomical reasons for the week to be a week. My father, Carlos Manuel Varsavsky, who was an astronomer, knew this well.

So my father thought of another week. A better week. A week that lasts 6 days. A week in which you work for 4 days and rest two and yet the country’s GDP stays the same.

How? Well stop reading now and see if you get it.

Did you think that we could work 10 hours per day instead of 8?

No, that’s not it. My father, who unfortunately passed away in 1983 at the young age of 49, had a better idea. But a bit more complex.

The solution to how to get everyone to work one day less, and for GDP to stay the same, has to do with not everyone working and resting at the same time as we do now. Currently we have a system of a 7 day week in which most of us work 5 days and rest 2 and work 40 hours. My father’s idea consists in randomly splitting the population in three groups, let’s call them Red, Blue and White groups to make the French and the Americans happy. Once people are randomly distributed (everyone in the same family gets the same week), then each group is ready to work and rest but not simultaneously. Society would have one third of the people who follow the red week, another third the blue week and the last third the white week. Everyday there would be two groups working and one resting, rotating.

Why does GDP stay the same? Because all the fixed investment of society gets used every day. Every school, factory, office building, road, everything that we invested trillions in building would be used every day, the thing is, not by the same people.

There is also a 9 day week possibility to this idea. Work 6 but every weekend is 3 days long. Not bad.

While we still can’t disclose from whom FON got an order for 400K Foneras, I can say that it is a mobile operator. Mobile operators are realizing that FON is their amigo. That, for them, it’s great when customers who paid their monthly 3G fees offload their traffic onto a WiFi network. More to follow.

My friends Pablo and Rosa Oks of Argentina asked Chilean architect Mathias Klotz to design a home for them in Jose Ignacio, Uruguay. The result is stunning. It is a three bedroom home facing the Atlantic Ocean. Jose Ignacio is a small village in Uruguay near the mostly environmentally destroyed Punta del Este. Even though the famous Chilean architect gets most of the credit, I think that Pablo and Rosa deserve a significant part of it. Pablo is an instinctual decorator and Rosa is a great landscape artist who also did my garden.

I started studying photography. I am on my 4th lesson. Photography is something that we all do, but few know about. I don’t know why it took me so long to take a serious interest in it. With a few lessons your pictures start getting much better.

For those of us who get to travel a lot, photography and video are two amazing tools for sharing our lives. There are no words that could communicate our walk with Nina around Jose Ignacio during a storm as these pictures do.

In the afternoon we went to La Pedrera, another town.

I once heard Tony Blair talk about Global Warming in the midst of a snow blizzard in Davos. He was having a real hard time making his case and at one point he did remark that it was a paradox to make the case to prevent warming in freezing conditions. We would have all preferred being in the Caribbean. Fast forward 5 years to the Caribbean – last weekend to be precise. Again we are talking about global warming during an unusually cold day in Saint Barths, this time with Nathan Myhrvold, ex CTO of Microsoft and one of the smartest scientists/inventors on the planet. We were having a Christmas dinner with my wife and his wife and kids and the subject of global warming came up again. The conversation was inspired by the fact that Nathan’s firm, Intellectual Ventures, has a proposed solution for global warming called Stratoshield that I found fascinating. But the challenge for me to communicate this idea to you is that as smart as Nathan is, marketing is not his forte and I did not find a simple description of the project. So I will do my best to explain it.

If you want to start by Nathan’s sources however, you can watch this video in which he does explain the Stratoshield concept to Fareed Zakaria. But it is long, complicated and the road that takes you to learn about Nathan’s proposed solution to global warming is winding and passes by such random topics as how fast penguins poo (it turns out that they poo very fast). You can also read this article and watch a very well made animation. If you prefer to stay on this article here’s my short version of Stratoshield.

Human beings have enormous behavioral inertia. Once we start doing something it is hard for us to change. And we are addicted to carbon based fuels. It will be very difficult to ask humanity to kick the CO2 habit in the near term. Moreover CO2 stays for thousands of years and we have sent up an incredible amount of the stuff. So while we try as much as we can to cut future emissions it is very likely that we will fail to do so quickly enough. So what can we do to prevent global warming? Learn from volcanoes. It turns out that volcano eruptions cool the earth significantly. And they cool it because they emit sulfur dioxide which act by creating blocking some of the sun’s energy at the stratosphere and preventing it from getting to the surface of the earth. Small quantities of sulfur dioxide, like small quantities of Ozone for example, have huge effects on climate. So what’s the solution, to wait for a volcano to erupt? Well we could but volcano eruptions are highly unpredictable. So the next best solution is to emulate a volcano. Stratoshield: two 25km garden size hoses near each pole flying into the stratosphere held by V shaped balloons that pump sulfur dioxide up from the earth providing shade for all of us.

How much would it cost to test this solution? Less than $100 million dollars. And, implementing it costs less than what USA spends on defense in one day.

Ok, so what is the bad news? Unfortunately, Nathan is not getting enough key people in the States to back his solution. Environmental activists, Al Gore types, believe that his plan would be seen as a license to emit and it is better not to even try.

My recommendation to Nathan was to go for a very different angle. Instead of promoting his concept inside USA , go outside and make the case to OPEC, specifically to the Saudis. Why would OPEC or the Saudis spend say $50 million to test this idea? Because OPEC countries have two enormous incentives to see this succeed. One is to continue selling oil but another one is that OPEC countries tend to be extremely hot countries already who can do with the little extra shade that the sulfur dioxide would provide from the stratosphere. Nathan appreciated this advice and I would not be surprised if Intellectual Ventures tries to approach the Saudi Government. I hope they do.

Now what do I think about the sulfur dioxide pump solution to global warming? It’s complicated. After visiting China and being unable to breathe well because of the pollution, I believe that there are other more urgent reasons, like global health, than global warming to cut emissions. Clean air is not only beautiful, crisp, but it is also much healthier. So I believe we should go for both. Do everything we can to cut emissions, but also try Nathan’s solution out as an emergency plan B. As Nathan says, his solution is like a bypass. You may ask the whole world to avoid cholesterol but few do, and in the end, many get a bypass or stent surgery. Nathan’s solution to global warming is one very long stent!

I finish with a picture of Nathan’s Yacht, the Teleost, and my sailboat, Aphrodite. In my carbon defense, I would like to mention that my sailboat just crossed the Atlantic from Barcelona to Barbados and then on to Saint Barths. With us on board, and in spite as weighing as much as 75 cars, it spent the fuel of one car doing those 4500nm because it goes by wind power. Fuel is used for the generator. Nathan’s boat on the other hand, as you can see, is a motor boat and does consume enormous amounts of fuel. But in Nathan’s defense, I can say that if his idea works, we should all give him enough lifetime carbon credits to use Teleost guilt free!

stbarths (1 of 1)

Yesterday, Nina and I went from Saint Martin to Miami. As a result of the foiled terrorist attack we were subject to two screenings. One was the already extensive screening that US airports do, shoes off and all. But after that, we went through another painful passenger by passenger screening that resulted in a 90 minute flight delay. Every passenger was searched an average of two minutes by two security people divided into male and female passengers. This included intense searches of passengers in wheel chairs and people of all ages, included very elderly passengers.

As I observed this process, I could not stop thinking that there must be a better and faster way of dealing with periods of high alert like the one we are going through now right in the middle of the holiday season. So this what came to mind.

I would leave the first screening as it is but I would change the second screening. Before you go on reading, please remember that until yesterday I had never encountered a second screening. If there is going to be a 90 minute long second screening process, here is a better alternative. It is what I call P2P passenger to passenger airline screening.

The plan would be that in the waiting area, before boarding, with all passengers there, airline personnel organize 20 groups of 10 passengers each. It is important that the assignment be done randomly by airline employees. One way would be to use seat assignments. After the groups are formed, two leaders would be chosen in each group based on the passengers with the most miles. Then in each group passengers would introduce each other and leaders would ask whatever questions they find reasonable in order to conclude if the members of her/his group are safe to fly with. If they see anything out of the ordinary they would refer the passenger to security for further questioning.

Why P2P?

-passengers have skin in the game. Security personnel stays on the ground.

-it is much faster. 2 people screen 200 passengers for 2 minutes each in 200 minutes. This process should not take more than 15 minutes, possibly 5.

– this is on top of current security, it is one more layer of security.

-many terrorist attacks are stopped by fellow passengers.

-with all respect to the privately hired security forces that screen passengers around airports, it is likely that the average well traveled passenger is smarter than the average newly hired private security employee.

-as opposed to Israeli screening methods which are considered best in the world and involve extensive, random interviewing, current security does not involve conversations. It is through conversation and normal human interaction that a person who is about to blow up a plane, with whatever method, may be discovered.

The P2P screening idea is one of those projects like Wikipedia, that believes that collective intelligence is greater than individual intelligence. Two experienced travelers leading a group of 10 other travelers in a 10 minute session can uncover anomalies that were not picked up during screening oriented towards finding explosives that are so hard to track. And in any case, this is an idea that deserves much further thinking and redesign before trialing it. One good group to ask to would be imprisoned terrorists. The question would be simple. If you had to go through physical searches alone or to both physical searches and questioning by an experienced airline traveler what would you worry about more? I tend to think that terrorists, like anyone, would fear the unpredictability of the P2P system.

To end the post with a positive note, this 90 minute delay was nothing compared to the amazing time we had during our honeymoon.

Here are some pictures.

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