This is the year in which Europe will either fall apart or emerged stronger. I give it 75% that it emerges as a stronger union but the risk of collapse is still there. Germany has the key to solve the problem because of the size of its economy, its saving rate and its export volume. Germany has to decide on whether it continues to transfer some of its wealth in order to create markets for its exports or it let’s Europe fall apart and ends up with an overvalued currency and deteriorated markets. Already today it started paying negative interest rates which is a prelude in my view to a huge rise in the DM should it be born again. Tough choice. I think Germany can actually both save Europe and make money by buying underpriced Italian and Spanish bonds and selling them after stabilization. It can do what the FED did with many financial institutions, make a profit by providing much needed liquidity at a critical time.
Posted by Antoin O Lachtnain - September 20, 2006 4:20 pm - #
How do you manage to constantly attract such good-looking people to work for you Martin!?
Posted by killy-the-frog - September 21, 2006 3:33 am - #
I dream to be part of your China mainland team !
Wanna my Resume?
Posted by Ching Chiao - September 21, 2006 4:52 pm - #
wow did not realize until now it is Roger to take the FON ride…Best luck!
Posted by Martin Varsavsky - September 22, 2006 7:54 pm - #
Sure Killy! Yes, pls send your resume to martin@fon.es
Thank you.